Simulating The Effect of Sugar Substitutes on Blood Glucose and Lipid Levels in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

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Abed Sultan Hassan, Nadia Abd Ellatif Ali

Abstract

This simulation study aims to evaluate the effect of sugar substitutes (stevia, erythritol, and aspartame) on blood glucose levels and lipid profiles in patients with type 2 diabetes. A 12-week clinical simulation was conducted with 150 patients divided into six groups. The methodology involved generating time-dependent data for fasting glucose (FBS), hemoglobin A1c, cholesterol, and triglycerides, which were then analyzed using a bidirectional LSTM model to predict temporal changes with an accuracy of up to 99.5%.
Simulation results showed that stevia and erythritol reduced FBS from 175–178 mg/dL to 130–143 mg/dL and triglycerides from 208–212 mg/dL to 182–190 mg/dL in the compliant groups (≥70% dietary adherence), while the non-compliant groups maintained elevated values (>160 mg/dL FBS, >210 mg/dL TG) with fluctuations. The LSTM model outperformed conventional models (R² ≥0.995, RMSE <2 mg/dL FBS), supporting its use in designing personalized dietary plans.

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